The impact of airport capacity constraints on future growth in the US air transportation system

Journal of Air Transport Management

The impact of airport capacity constraints on future growth in the US air transportation system

Journal: Air Transport Management

Author: Antony Evans, Andreas Schäfer

Published: 2011


Abstract

This paper simulates airline strategic decision making and its impact on passenger demand, flight delays and aircraft emissions. Passenger flows, aircraft operations, flight delays and aircraft emissions are simulated for 22 airports in the US, under three airport capacity scenarios. The simulation results indicate that most system-wide implications for operations and environmental impact seem to be manageable, but local impacts at congested hub airports may be significant. The response of the air transportation system to avoid airports with high delays could significantly impact passenger demand and air traffic for these and directly dependent airports. The simulations also suggest that frequency competition effects could maintain flight frequencies at high levels, preventing a significant shift toward larger aircraft, which would otherwise reduce the impact of the capacity constraints.


Keywords: Airline operations, Flight delays, CO2 emissions, Airline network optimization, Game theory


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