A model for projecting flight delays during irregular operation conditions

A model for projecting flight delays during irregular operation conditions

Journal: Air Transport Management

Author: Khaled F. Abdelghany
, Sharmila S. Shah, Sidhartha Raina, Ahmed F. Abdelghany

Published: 2004

Abstract

On-time performance of airlines schedule is key factor in maintaining current customer satisfaction and attracting new ones. This requires management of the different operation resources (crew/aircraft) to ensure their on-time readiness for each flight in the planned schedule. However, flight schedules are often subjected to irregularity. In particular, weather accounts for nearly 75% of system delays. Due to the tight connection among airlines resources, these delays could dramatically propagate over time and space unless the proper recovery actions are taken. This paper presents a model which projects flight delays and alerts for possible future breaks during irregular operation conditions. The results of applying the model at the operation control center of a major airlines company in the US are presented.

Keywords: Airlines schedule; Shortest path algorithm; Irregular operations; Proactive recovery

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