Aviation’s inclusion in international climate policy regimes: Implications for the Caribbean tourism industry

Aviation’s inclusion in international climate policy regimes: Implications for the Caribbean tourism industry

Journal: Air Transport Management

Author: Laurel Pentelow, Daniel J. Scott

Published: 2011

Abstract

Nations with tourism dependant economies are becoming increasingly concerned about the inclusion of  aviation in greenhouse gas mitigation policy for international bunker fuels and more recently adaptation policy proposals. The central concern is that such policies will increase the cost of traveling by air, therefore reducing visitor arrivals to long-haul, tourism-dependent destinations, often small island developing states. This study used a tourism arrivals model to examine the implications of currently proposed climate policies for the world’s most tourism dependant region e the Caribbean. Results indicate that under current proposals for both mitigation and adaptation focused climate policy, reductions in tourist arrivals from the major markets of Europe and North America would be negligible versus business as usual growth projections Only under the most stringent mitigation policy scenario. Which may portend a post-2020 policy regime, is a significant decrease in tourist arrivals predicted. Of the climate policies assessed, the adaptation policy had the potential to provide greater economic benefits to the Caribbean region.

Keywords: Climate policy, Aviation, Caribbean, Tourism

 براي دريافت نسخه کامل مقاله فوق، فرم زير را تکميل نماييد: